Solely three groups within the Premier League have extra wins because the World Cup than Aston Villa, which has put collectively an 11-3-6 (W-D-L) stretch since Christmas to offer itself a good probability of qualifying for a European competitors.
Whereas Unai Emery and Villa deserve a ton of credit score for the outcomes they’ve collected over the second half of the season, there are some considerations that this stretch has been a whole lot of smoke and mirrors.
The Villans have scored 30 objectives and conceded 21 over their final 20 matches, however their anticipated objectives output is far more pedestrian.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham decide
(10 a.m. Japanese)
Aston Villa has created 26.eight anticipated objectives in that span and conceded 29.3.
In keeping with Understat, a crew with that sort of statistical portfolio ought to have round 28 factors. Villa has 36.
Whereas Aston Villa has stabilized because the World Cup, issues have gone the opposite course for Tottenham Hotspur.
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It has been an uneven season and the market appears to have written it off a bit on this spot.
It’s exhausting to belief Spurs as a favourite, however they’re the underdog on this spot and have lots to play for as they’ll must get one thing from this match to maintain Villa from taking their Europa League spot.
It is a nice buy-low, sell-high spot.
Aston Villa vs. Tottenham prediction
Tottenham (+200, FanDuel)