Main as much as the 2022 NFL season, Put up Motion Betting will launch a playing preview for all 32 groups within the Nationwide Soccer League, masking the schedule, predictions, win whole over/beneath picks and prop bets for each staff. At the moment, we are going to cowl the Washington Commanders. You should definitely try our Pittsburgh Steelers preview, printed yesterday.
Washington Commanders (66/1 to win the Tremendous Bowl, BetMGM)
2021 Report: 7-10 (third in NFC East)
Ron Rivera returns for his third season with Washington, who made a splash this offseason by buying QB Carson Wentz from the Indianapolis Colts.
Rivera will hope Wentz is a difference-maker for Washington, which proved a really up-and-down staff final season. After beginning 2-2, they misplaced 5 of six earlier than successful 4 straight and shutting the season 1-4. Washington shall be with out edge rusher Chase Younger early on, who continues to be recovering from a torn ACL suffered in Week 10 final season.
Rivera may even want to enhance his staff’s cross protection. Final season, Washington ranked 28th in cross DVOA, per footballoutsiders.com, whereas ending seventh in rush DVOA. Nevertheless, the latter rating is essentially based mostly on video games with Younger, as Washington struggled towards the run with out the Ohio State product on the sphere.
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Commanders offseason strikes: Draft, trades, free agent signings, damage report
- Acquired QB Carson Wentz + draft decide from Indianapolis Colts for 3 draft picks
- Drafted Penn State WR Jahan Dotson (No. 16), Alabama DT Phidarian Mathis (No. 45), Alabama RB Brian Robinson Jr. (No. 98), Louisiana-Lafayette S Percy Butler (No. 113), North Carolina QB Sam Howell (No. 144), Nevada TE Cole Turner (No. 149), Tulsa G Chris Paul (No. 230), Oklahoma State CB Christian Holmes (No. 240)
- Signed WR Alex Erickson, G Trai Turner, CBs DeVante Cross, Josh Drayden and Devin Taylor and TEs Curtis Hodges & Armani Rogers.
Commanders 2022 Schedule
Week 1: vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Week 2: at Detroit Lions
Week 3: vs. Philadelphia Eagles
Week 4: at Dallas Cowboys
Week 5: vs. Tennessee Titans
Week 6: at Chicago Bears
Week 7: vs. Inexperienced Bay Packers
Week 8: at Indianapolis Colts
Week 9: vs. Minnesota Vikings
Week 10: at Philadelphia Eagles
Week 11: at Houston Texans
Week 12: vs. Atlanta Falcons
Week 13: at New York Giants
Week 14: BYE
Week 15: vs. New York Giants
Week 16: at San Francisco 49ers
Week 17: vs. Cleveland Browns
Week 18: vs. Dallas Cowboys
NFL Betting Traces: Commanders Win Whole O/U
This win whole is closely juiced to the beneath, which is priced at -170 as of this writing. For these bettors within the over, you may get a juicy +145.
Nevertheless, I’m barely shocked at how assured bookmakers are that the Commanders fail to clear this win whole. Primarily based on my Motion colleague Sean Koerner’s power of schedule projections, the Commanders enter the 2022-23 season with the third-easiest schedule within the NFL.
Plus, most of their trip-wire matchups come at residence – Week 7 towards Inexperienced Bay, Week 9 towards Minnesota and Week 18 towards Dallas. As for his or her street schedule, I imagine that other than San Francisco and Dallas, the rest are winnable video games that may characteristic single-digit spreads (assuming full well being).
The addition of Wentz, who ranked 16th amongst all quarterbacks final yr in DVOA, ought to enhance a Washington offense that ranked 21st in staff DVOA final season, per footballoutsiders.com. Ought to that happen, the Commanders will undoubtedly just like the seems of a schedule that options eight video games towards groups that ranked within the backside half of staff defensive DVOA final season.
Moreover, I’m additional questioning the value right here based mostly on the previous outcomes for the Commanders. Within the final two seasons beneath Rivera, the Commanders have received seven video games.
Are they able to enhancing by two wins with a reliable quarterback and weak schedule?
Completely. Regardless of his flaws, Wentz ought to assist steadiness this offensive assault and information the Commanders to over this win whole.
Regardless of DE Chase Younger seemingly lacking the opening a part of the season, I’m not about to overreact to that absence. Final season, Washington went 4-Four in video games with out the Ohio State edge rusher.
For all these causes, take the over on Washington’s win whole as much as +115.
Commanders O/U 8.5 Wins: The Decide
Over 8.5 Wins (+145)
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Carson Wentz Over 21.5 Passing TD’s (-112, FanDuel)
After buying Wentz, I anticipate the Commanders will make him the point of interest of their offense. That perception ought to result in Wentz going over his landing prop of 21.5 for the season.
Past that oversimplified principle, there are supporting statistics that additional level to Wentz clearing this benchmark. First is that beneath Rivera, Washington has confirmed mediocre at establishing the run. Final season, they ranked 19th in speeding DVOA. Within the season prior, they had been 14th, per footballoutsiders.com.
Moreover, each Antonio Gibson and J.D. McKissic have established themselves as dependable receivers out of the backfield. Final season, of the 57 running-backs that acquired not less than 25 passes, each ranked 25th or higher in defense-adjusted yards above alternative.
Washington makes an energetic effort to make use of their backs in a passing recreation and that the ball shall be in Wentz’s palms most of the time, particularly close to the pink zone.
Lastly, regardless of all his perceived flaws, Wentz has cleared this quantity in two of his final three seasons. Primarily based on these developments, again this market as much as -125.